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Scientists in ICTP's Earth System Physics section publish their research in some of the world's most prestigious journals; for the latest publications, see below.

Journal article
2025
ENSO teleconnections and predictability of the boreal summer temperature over the Arabian Peninsula in C3S and Saudi-KAU seasonal forecast systems
Atmospheric Research (2025)
Almazroui, M. | Khalid, M.S. | Abid, M.A. | Rashid, I.U. | Kamil, S. | Siddiqui, H. | Islam, M.N. | Ismail, M. | Ehsan, M.A. | O'Brien, E. | Asiri, M. | Ahmed, R. | Saeed, S. | Samman, A.E. | Kucharski, F. | Arif, O.H. | Arishi, A.A.
Journal article
2024
The effect of climate change and temperature extremes on Aedes albopictus populations: a regional case study for Italy
Journal of The Royal Society Interface (2024)
Miguel Garrido Zornoza | Cyril Caminade | Adrian M. Tompkins
Journal article
2024
The Interdecadal Changes of the Relationship Between May‐June and July‐August NWPSH and Their Physical Mechanisms
Geophysical Research Letters (2024)
Shuai Li | Fred Kucharski | Jie Yang | ZhiQiang Gong | Yuxuan Zhao | Guolin Feng
Book chapter
2024
Arboviruses, Vectors, Poverty and Climate Change
Climate Change and Global Health (2024)
Colin D. Butler, | Cyril Caminade | Andrew P. Morse
Journal article
2024
Amazon drought amplifies SST warming in the North Tropical Atlantic
Climate Dynamics (2024)
Lou, W. | Sun, C. | Kucharski, F. | Li, J. | Liu, Y.
Journal article
2024
Predictability of the early summer surface air temperature over Western South Asia
Climate Dynamics (2024)
Rashid, I.U. | Abid, M.A. | Osman, M. | Kucharski, F. | Ashfaq, M. | Weisheimer, A. | Almazroui, M. | Torres-Alavez, J.A. | Afzaal, M.
Journal article
2024
An assessment of equatorial Atlantic interannual variability in Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (OMIP) simulations
Ocean Science (2024)
Arthur Prigent | Riccardo Farneti
Journal article
2024
Drivers and impact of the 2021 extreme warm event in the tropical Angolan upwelling system
Scientific Reports (2024)
Rodrigue Anicet Imbol Koungue | Peter Brandt | Arthur Prigent | Léo Costa Aroucha | Joke Lübbecke | Arielle Stela N. Imbol Nkwinkwa | Marcus Dengler | Noel Keenlyside
Journal article
2024
Process‐Based Atmosphere‐Hydrology‐Malaria Modeling: Performance for Spatio‐Temporal Malaria Transmission Dynamics in Sub‐Saharan Africa
Water Resources Research (2024)
Mame Diarra Bousso Dieng | Adrian M. Tompkins | Joël Arnault | Ali Sié | Benjamin Fersch | Patrick Laux | Maximilian Schwarz | Pascal Zabré | Stephen Munga | Sammy Khagayi | Ibrahima Diouf | Harald Kunstmann
Journal article
2024
Future weakening of southeastern tropical Atlantic Ocean interannual sea surface temperature variability in a global climate model
Climate Dynamics (2024)
Arthur Prigent | Rodrigue Anicet Imbol Koungue | Joke F. Lübbecke | Peter Brandt | Jan Harlaß | Mojib Latif
Journal article
2024
Converging Findings of Climate Models and Satellite Observations on the Positive Impact of European Forests on Cloud Cover
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (2024)
Luca Caporaso | Gregory Duveiller | Graziano Giuliani | Filippo Giorgi | Martin Stengel | Emanuele Massaro | Matteo Piccardo | Alessandro Cescatti
Journal article
2024
A Multi‐Data Set Analysis of the Freshwater Transport by the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at Nominally 34.5°S
Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans (2024)
Cristina Arumí‐Planas | Shenfu Dong | Renellys Perez | Matthew J. Harrison | Riccardo Farneti | Alonso Hernández‐Guerra

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All publications
Journal article
2025
ENSO teleconnections and predictability of the boreal summer temperature over the Arabian Peninsula in C3S and Saudi-KAU seasonal forecast systems
Atmospheric Research (2025)
Almazroui, M. | Khalid, M.S. | Abid, M.A. | Rashid, I.U. | Kamil, S. | Siddiqui, H. | Islam, M.N. | Ismail, M. | Ehsan, M.A. | O'Brien, E. | Asiri, M. | Ahmed, R. | Saeed, S. | Samman, A.E. | Kucharski, F. | Arif, O.H. | Arishi, A.A.
Journal article
2024
The effect of climate change and temperature extremes on Aedes albopictus populations: a regional case study for Italy
Journal of The Royal Society Interface (2024)
Miguel Garrido Zornoza | Cyril Caminade | Adrian M. Tompkins
Journal article
2024
The Interdecadal Changes of the Relationship Between May‐June and July‐August NWPSH and Their Physical Mechanisms
Geophysical Research Letters (2024)
Shuai Li | Fred Kucharski | Jie Yang | ZhiQiang Gong | Yuxuan Zhao | Guolin Feng
Book chapter
2024
Arboviruses, Vectors, Poverty and Climate Change
Climate Change and Global Health (2024)
Colin D. Butler, | Cyril Caminade | Andrew P. Morse
Journal article
2024
Amazon drought amplifies SST warming in the North Tropical Atlantic
Climate Dynamics (2024)
Lou, W. | Sun, C. | Kucharski, F. | Li, J. | Liu, Y.
Journal article
2024
Predictability of the early summer surface air temperature over Western South Asia
Climate Dynamics (2024)
Rashid, I.U. | Abid, M.A. | Osman, M. | Kucharski, F. | Ashfaq, M. | Weisheimer, A. | Almazroui, M. | Torres-Alavez, J.A. | Afzaal, M.
Journal article
2024
An assessment of equatorial Atlantic interannual variability in Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (OMIP) simulations
Ocean Science (2024)
Arthur Prigent | Riccardo Farneti
Journal article
2024
Drivers and impact of the 2021 extreme warm event in the tropical Angolan upwelling system
Scientific Reports (2024)
Rodrigue Anicet Imbol Koungue | Peter Brandt | Arthur Prigent | Léo Costa Aroucha | Joke Lübbecke | Arielle Stela N. Imbol Nkwinkwa | Marcus Dengler | Noel Keenlyside
Journal article
2024
Process‐Based Atmosphere‐Hydrology‐Malaria Modeling: Performance for Spatio‐Temporal Malaria Transmission Dynamics in Sub‐Saharan Africa
Water Resources Research (2024)
Mame Diarra Bousso Dieng | Adrian M. Tompkins | Joël Arnault | Ali Sié | Benjamin Fersch | Patrick Laux | Maximilian Schwarz | Pascal Zabré | Stephen Munga | Sammy Khagayi | Ibrahima Diouf | Harald Kunstmann
Journal article
2024
Future weakening of southeastern tropical Atlantic Ocean interannual sea surface temperature variability in a global climate model
Climate Dynamics (2024)
Arthur Prigent | Rodrigue Anicet Imbol Koungue | Joke F. Lübbecke | Peter Brandt | Jan Harlaß | Mojib Latif
Journal article
2024
Converging Findings of Climate Models and Satellite Observations on the Positive Impact of European Forests on Cloud Cover
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (2024)
Luca Caporaso | Gregory Duveiller | Graziano Giuliani | Filippo Giorgi | Martin Stengel | Emanuele Massaro | Matteo Piccardo | Alessandro Cescatti
Journal article
2024
A Multi‐Data Set Analysis of the Freshwater Transport by the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at Nominally 34.5°S
Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans (2024)
Cristina Arumí‐Planas | Shenfu Dong | Renellys Perez | Matthew J. Harrison | Riccardo Farneti | Alonso Hernández‐Guerra
Journal article
2024
A Novel Gravity Wave Transport Parametrization for Global Chemistry Climate Models: Description and Validation
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (2024)
Guarino, M.-V. | Gardner, C.S. | Feng, W. | Funke, B. | García-Comas, M. | López-Puertas, M. | Kupilas, M.M. | Marsh, D.R. | Plane, J.M.C.
Journal article
2024
The effect of explicit convection on simulated malaria transmission across Africa
PLOS ONE (2024)
Joshua Talib | James Colborn | Abayomi A. Abatan | Remy HoekSpaans | Edmund I. Yamba | Temitope S. Egbebiyi | Cyril Caminade | Anne Jones | Cathryn E. Birch | Oladapo M. Olagbegi | Andrew P. Morse
Journal article
2024
Winter precipitation predictability in Central Southwest Asia and its representation in seasonal forecast systems
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2024)
Horan, M.F. | Kucharski, F. | Johnson, N. | Ashfaq, M.
Journal article
2024
Climate-influenced vector-borne diseases in Africa: a call to empower the next generation of African researchers for sustainable solutions
Infectious Diseases of Poverty (2024)
Judicaël OBAME-NKOGHE | Adjoavi Esse Agossou | Gerald Mboowa | Basile Kamgang | Cyril Caminade | Dawn C. Duke | Andrew Karanja Githeko | Obed M. Ogega | Nestor Engone Elloué | Fatou Bintou Sarr | Dieudonné Nkoghe ...
Journal article
2024
Author Correction: Attributing Venice Acqua Alta events to a changing climate and evaluating the efficacy of MoSE adaptation strategy (npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, (2023), 6, 1, (181), 10.1038/s41612-023-00513-0)
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2024)
Faranda, D. | Ginesta, M. | Alberti, T. | Coppola, E. | Anzidei, M.
Journal article
2024
Convection-permitting climate models offer more certain extreme rainfall projections
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2024)
Fosser, G. | Gaetani, M. | Kendon, E.J. | Adinolfi, M. | Ban, N. | Belušić, D. | Caillaud, C. | Careto, J.A.M. | Coppola, E. | Demory, M.-E. | de Vries, H. | Dobler, A. | Feldmann, H. | Goergen, K. | Lenderink, G. ...
Journal article
2024
The climate change response of alpine-mediterranean heavy precipitation events
Climate Dynamics (2024)
Müller, S.K. | Pichelli, E. | Coppola, E. | Berthou, S. | Brienen, S. | Caillaud, C. | Demory, M.-E. | Dobler, A. | Feldmann, H. | Mercogliano, P. | Tölle, M. | de Vries, H.
Journal article
2024
Multi-decadal pacemaker simulations with an intermediate-complexity climate model
Weather and Climate Dynamics (2024)
Franco Molteni | Fred Kucharski | Riccardo Farneti
Journal article
2024
Seasonal variability and predictability of monsoon precipitation in Southern Africa
Environmental Research Letters (2024)
Horan, M.F. | Kucharski, F. | Ashfaq, M.
Journal article
2024
Ability of a dynamical climate sensitive disease model to reproduce historical Rift Valley Fever outbreaks over Africa
Scientific Reports (2024)
Alizée Chemison | Gilles Ramstein | Anne Jones | Andy Morse | Cyril Caminade
Journal article
2024
Risk factors for tick attachment in companion animals in Great Britain: a spatiotemporal analysis covering 2014–2021
Parasites & Vectors (2024)
Elena Arsevska | Tomislav Hengl | David A. Singleton | Peter-John M. Noble | Cyril Caminade | Obiora A. Eneanya | Philip H. Jones | Jolyon M. Medlock | Kayleigh M. Hansford | Carmelo Bonannella | Alan D. Radford
Journal article
2024
SPEEDY-NEMO: performance and applications of a fully-coupled intermediate-complexity climate model
Climate Dynamics (2024)
Ruggieri, P. | Abid, M.A. | García-Serrano, J. | Grancini, C. | Kucharski, F. | Pascale, S. | Volpi, D.
Journal article
2023
Validating EURO-CORDEX climate simulations for modelling European wind power generation
Renewable Energy (2023)
Graziela Luzia | Matti J. Koivisto | Andrea N. Hahmann
Journal article
2023
Model-Data Comparison of Antarctic Winter Sea-Ice Extent and Southern Ocean Sea-Surface Temperatures During Marine Isotope Stage 5e
Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology (2023)
Chadwick, M. | Sime, L.C. | Allen, C.S. | Guarino, M.-V.
Journal article
2023
The coupled system response to 250 years of freshwater forcing: Last Interglacial CMIP6-PMIP4 HadGEM3 simulations
Climate of the Past (2023)
Guarino, M.V. | Sime, L.C. | Diamond, R. | Ridley, J. | Schroeder, D.
Journal article
2023
A Dimensionless Parameter for Predicting Convective Self‐Aggregation Onset in a Stochastic Reaction‐Diffusion Model of Tropical Radiative‐Convective Equilibrium
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (2023)
Giovanni Biagioli | Adrian Mark Tompkins
Journal article
2023
Author Correction: Sea-ice-free Arctic during the Last Interglacial supports fast future loss
Nature Climate Change (2023)
Maria-Vittoria Guarino | Louise C. Sime | David Schröeder | Irene Malmierca-Vallet | Erica Rosenblum | Mark Ringer | Jeff Ridley | Danny Feltham | Cecilia Bitz | Eric J. Steig | Eric Wolff | Julienne Stroeve | Alistair Sellar
Journal article
2023
Investigating the representation of heatwaves from an ensemble of km-scale regional climate simulations within CORDEX-FPS convection
Climate Dynamics (2023)
Sangelantoni, L. | Sobolowski, S. | Lorenz, T. | Hodnebrog, Ø. | Cardoso, R.M. | Soares, P.M.M. | Ferretti, R. | Lavín-Gullón, A. | Fernandez, J. | Goergen, K. | Milovac, J. | Katragkou, E. | Kartsios, S. | Coppola, E. ...

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