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Scientists in ICTP's Earth System Physics section publish their research in some of the world's most prestigious journals; for the latest publications, see below.

Journal article
2026
Impact of wind forcing on the equatorial Pacific interannual variability in Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (OMIP) simulations
Climate Dynamics (2026)
Arthur Prigent | Riccardo Farneti | Fred Kucharski | Antonietta Capotondi | Joke F. Lübbecke
Journal article
2025
A global CORDEX-based dataset delineating urban areas and their surroundings to assess climate change in megacities
Scientific Data (2025)
Javier Diez-Sierra | Yaiza Quintana | Gaby S. Langendijk | Josipa Milovac | Matthias Demuzere | Rita Nogherotto | Joni-Pekka Pietikäinen | Diana Rechid | Natalia Zazulie | Silvina A. Solman | Jesús Fernández
Journal article
2025
Drying Tropical America Under Global Warming: Mechanism and Emergent Constraint
Geophysical Research Letters (2025)
Chao He | Xiaolong Chen | Tianjun Zhou | Fred Kucharski | Fengfei Song
Journal article
2025
Interannual variability of net primary productivity in the northwest African coastal upwelling system and their relation to Dakar Niños
Scientific Reports (2025)
Rodrigue Anicet Imbol Koungue | Arthur Prigent | Joke F. Lübbecke | Peter Brandt | Julien Jouanno
Journal article
2025
Potential for Machine Learning Emulators to Augment Regional Climate Simulations in Provision of Local Climate Change Information
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (2025)
Elizabeth J. Kendon | Henry Addison | Antoine Doury | Samuel Somot | Peter A. G. Watson | Ben B. B. Booth | Erika Coppola | José Manuel Gutiérrez | James Murphy | Calum Scullion
Journal article
2025
Graph neural networks for hourly precipitation projections at the convection permitting scale with a novel hybrid imperfect framework
Environmental Data Science (2025)
Valentina Blasone | Erika Coppola | Guido Sanguinetti | Viplove Arora | Serafina Di Gioia | Luca Bortolussi
Journal article
2025
The 5th generation regional climate modeling system, RegCM5: the first convection-permitting European wide simulation and validation over the CORDEX-CORE domains
Climate Dynamics (2025)
Erika Coppola | Filippo Giorgi | Graziano Giuliani | Emanuela Pichelli | James M. Ciarlo | Francesca Raffaele | Rita Nogherotto | Michelle Simões Reboita | Chen Lu | Natalia Zazulie | Luiza Vargas-Heinz | Andressa Andrade Cardoso ...
Journal article
2025
A climate suitability index for species distribution modelling applied to terrestrial arthropods in the Mediterranean region
Earth System Dynamics (2025)
James M. Ciarlo' | Monique Borg Inguanez | Erika Coppola | Aaron Micallef | David Mifsud
Journal article
2025
Aedes albopictus Is Rapidly Invading Its Climatic Niche in France: Wider Implications for Biting Nuisance and Arbovirus Control in Western Europe
Global Change Biology (2025)
Andrea Radici | Pachka Hammami | Arnaud Cannet | Grégory L'Ambert | Guillaume Lacour | Florence Fournet | Claire Garros | Hélène Guis | Didier Fontenille | Cyril Caminade
Journal article
2025
Response of Early Winter Precipitation and Storm Activity in the North Atlantic–European–Mediterranean Region to Indian Ocean SST Variability
Geophysical Research Letters (2025)
M. Reale | A. Raganato | F. D'Andrea | M. Adnan Abid | A. Hochman | N. R. Chowdhury | S. Salon | F. Kucharski
Journal article
2025
Interannual variability of upper ocean temperature in the tropical Atlantic: an ocean reanalysis intercomparison
Climate Dynamics (2025)
Arthur Prigent | Ingo Richter | Andrea Storto | Riccardo Farneti | Rodrigue Anicet Imbol Koungue | Yuko M. Okumura | Ping Chang
Journal article
2025
Application of High-Resolution Regional Climate Model Simulations for Crop Yield Estimation in Southern Brazil
Agriengineering (2025)
Cuadra, S.V. | de Oliveira, M.P.G. | Victoria, D.D.C. | Bender, F.D. | Bettolli, M.L. | Solman, S. | da Rocha, R.P. | Fernández, J. | Milovac, J. | Coppola, E. | Doyle, M.

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All publications
Journal article
2024
ClimaMeter: contextualizing extreme weather in a changing climate
Weather and Climate Dynamics (2024)
Faranda, D. | Messori, G. | Coppola, E. | Alberti, T. | Vrac, M. | Pons, F. | Yiou, P. | Saint Lu, M. | Hisi, A.N.S. | Brockmann, P. | Dafis, S. | Mengaldo, G. | Vautard, R.
Journal article
2024
Impacts of Changing Atmospheric Circulation Patterns on Aviation Turbulence Over Europe
Geophysical Research Letters (2024)
Alberti, T. | Faranda, D. | Rapella, L. | Coppola, E. | Lepreti, F. | Dubrulle, B. | Carbone, V.
Book chapter
2024
Biodiversity Conservation, Ecosystem Services and One Health
Principles of One Health for a better planet (2024)
Barry J. McMahon | Cyril Caminade | Daniele de Meneghi | Caoimhe Doyle | Julie Garnier | Martin Hitziger | Hans Keune | Richard Kock | Claire Martin | Grace Patterson | K. Marie McIntyre
Journal article
2024
The effect of climate change and temperature extremes on Aedes albopictus populations: a regional case study for Italy
Journal of The Royal Society Interface (2024)
Miguel Garrido Zornoza | Cyril Caminade | Adrian M. Tompkins
Journal article
2024
The Interdecadal Changes of the Relationship Between May‐June and July‐August NWPSH and Their Physical Mechanisms
Geophysical Research Letters (2024)
Shuai Li | Fred Kucharski | Jie Yang | ZhiQiang Gong | Yuxuan Zhao | Guolin Feng
Book chapter
2024
Arboviruses, Vectors, Poverty and Climate Change
Climate Change and Global Health (2024)
Colin D. Butler, | Cyril Caminade | Andrew P. Morse
Journal article
2024
Amazon drought amplifies SST warming in the North Tropical Atlantic
Climate Dynamics (2024)
Lou, W. | Sun, C. | Kucharski, F. | Li, J. | Liu, Y.
Journal article
2024
Predictability of the early summer surface air temperature over Western South Asia
Climate Dynamics (2024)
Rashid, I.U. | Abid, M.A. | Osman, M. | Kucharski, F. | Ashfaq, M. | Weisheimer, A. | Almazroui, M. | Torres-Alavez, J.A. | Afzaal, M.
Journal article
2024
An assessment of equatorial Atlantic interannual variability in Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (OMIP) simulations
Ocean Science (2024)
Arthur Prigent | Riccardo Farneti
Journal article
2024
Drivers and impact of the 2021 extreme warm event in the tropical Angolan upwelling system
Scientific Reports (2024)
Rodrigue Anicet Imbol Koungue | Peter Brandt | Arthur Prigent | Léo Costa Aroucha | Joke Lübbecke | Arielle Stela N. Imbol Nkwinkwa | Marcus Dengler | Noel Keenlyside
Journal article
2024
Process‐Based Atmosphere‐Hydrology‐Malaria Modeling: Performance for Spatio‐Temporal Malaria Transmission Dynamics in Sub‐Saharan Africa
Water Resources Research (2024)
Mame Diarra Bousso Dieng | Adrian M. Tompkins | Joël Arnault | Ali Sié | Benjamin Fersch | Patrick Laux | Maximilian Schwarz | Pascal Zabré | Stephen Munga | Sammy Khagayi | Ibrahima Diouf | Harald Kunstmann
Journal article
2024
Future weakening of southeastern tropical Atlantic Ocean interannual sea surface temperature variability in a global climate model
Climate Dynamics (2024)
Arthur Prigent | Rodrigue Anicet Imbol Koungue | Joke F. Lübbecke | Peter Brandt | Jan Harlaß | Mojib Latif
Journal article
2024
Converging Findings of Climate Models and Satellite Observations on the Positive Impact of European Forests on Cloud Cover
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (2024)
Luca Caporaso | Gregory Duveiller | Graziano Giuliani | Filippo Giorgi | Martin Stengel | Emanuele Massaro | Matteo Piccardo | Alessandro Cescatti
Journal article
2024
A Multi‐Data Set Analysis of the Freshwater Transport by the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at Nominally 34.5°S
Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans (2024)
Cristina Arumí‐Planas | Shenfu Dong | Renellys Perez | Matthew J. Harrison | Riccardo Farneti | Alonso Hernández‐Guerra
Journal article
2024
A Novel Gravity Wave Transport Parametrization for Global Chemistry Climate Models: Description and Validation
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (2024)
Guarino, M.-V. | Gardner, C.S. | Feng, W. | Funke, B. | García-Comas, M. | López-Puertas, M. | Kupilas, M.M. | Marsh, D.R. | Plane, J.M.C.
Journal article
2024
The effect of explicit convection on simulated malaria transmission across Africa
PLOS ONE (2024)
Joshua Talib | James Colborn | Abayomi A. Abatan | Remy HoekSpaans | Edmund I. Yamba | Temitope S. Egbebiyi | Cyril Caminade | Anne Jones | Cathryn E. Birch | Oladapo M. Olagbegi | Andrew P. Morse
Journal article
2024
Winter precipitation predictability in Central Southwest Asia and its representation in seasonal forecast systems
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2024)
Horan, M.F. | Kucharski, F. | Johnson, N. | Ashfaq, M.
Journal article
2024
Climate-influenced vector-borne diseases in Africa: a call to empower the next generation of African researchers for sustainable solutions
Infectious Diseases of Poverty (2024)
Judicaël Obame-Nkoghe | Adjoavi Esse Agossou | Gerald Mboowa | Basile Kamgang | Cyril Caminade | Dawn C. Duke | Andrew Karanja Githeko | Obed M. Ogega | Nestor Engone Elloué | Fatou Bintou Sarr | Dieudonné Nkoghe ...
Journal article
2024
Investigating the representation of heatwaves from an ensemble of km-scale regional climate simulations within CORDEX-FPS convection
Climate Dynamics (2024)
Sangelantoni, L. | Sobolowski, S. | Lorenz, T. | Hodnebrog, Ø. | Cardoso, R.M. | Soares, P.M.M. | Ferretti, R. | Lavín-Gullón, A. | Fernandez, J. | Goergen, K. | Milovac, J. | Katragkou, E. | Kartsios, S. | Coppola, E. ...
Journal article
2024
Author Correction: Attributing Venice Acqua Alta events to a changing climate and evaluating the efficacy of MoSE adaptation strategy (npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, (2023), 6, 1, (181), 10.1038/s41612-023-00513-0)
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2024)
Faranda, D. | Ginesta, M. | Alberti, T. | Coppola, E. | Anzidei, M.
Journal article
2024
Precipitation Diurnal Cycle Assessment in Convection-Permitting Simulations in Southeastern South America
Earth Systems and Environment (2024)
da Rocha, R.P. | Llopart, M. | Reboita, M.S. | Bettolli, M.L. | Solman, S. | Fernández, J. | Milovac, J. | Feijoó, M. | Coppola, E.
Journal article
2024
Convection-permitting climate models offer more certain extreme rainfall projections
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2024)
Fosser, G. | Gaetani, M. | Kendon, E.J. | Adinolfi, M. | Ban, N. | Belušić, D. | Caillaud, C. | Careto, J.A.M. | Coppola, E. | Demory, M.-E. | de Vries, H. | Dobler, A. | Feldmann, H. | Goergen, K. | Lenderink, G. ...
Journal article
2024
The climate change response of alpine-mediterranean heavy precipitation events
Climate Dynamics (2024)
Müller, S.K. | Pichelli, E. | Coppola, E. | Berthou, S. | Brienen, S. | Caillaud, C. | Demory, M.-E. | Dobler, A. | Feldmann, H. | Mercogliano, P. | Tölle, M. | de Vries, H.
Journal article
2024
Multi-decadal pacemaker simulations with an intermediate-complexity climate model
Weather and Climate Dynamics (2024)
Franco Molteni | Fred Kucharski | Riccardo Farneti
Journal article
2024
Seasonal variability and predictability of monsoon precipitation in Southern Africa
Environmental Research Letters (2024)
Horan, M.F. | Kucharski, F. | Ashfaq, M.
Journal article
2024
Ability of a dynamical climate sensitive disease model to reproduce historical Rift Valley Fever outbreaks over Africa
Scientific Reports (2024)
Alizée Chemison | Gilles Ramstein | Anne Jones | Andy Morse | Cyril Caminade
Journal article
2024
Risk factors for tick attachment in companion animals in Great Britain: a spatiotemporal analysis covering 2014–2021
Parasites & Vectors (2024)
Elena Arsevska | Tomislav Hengl | David A. Singleton | Peter-John M. Noble | Cyril Caminade | Obiora A. Eneanya | Philip H. Jones | Jolyon M. Medlock | Kayleigh M. Hansford | Carmelo Bonannella | Alan D. Radford
Journal article
2024
SPEEDY-NEMO: performance and applications of a fully-coupled intermediate-complexity climate model
Climate Dynamics (2024)
Ruggieri, P. | Abid, M.A. | García-Serrano, J. | Grancini, C. | Kucharski, F. | Pascale, S. | Volpi, D.
Journal article
2024
The added value of km-scale simulations to describe temperature over complex orography: the CORDEX FPS-Convection multi-model ensemble runs over the Alps
Climate Dynamics (2024)
Soares, P.M.M. | Careto, J.A.M. | Cardoso, R.M. | Goergen, K. | Katragkou, E. | Sobolowski, S. | Coppola, E. | Ban, N. | Belušić, D. | Berthou, S. | Caillaud, C. | Dobler, A. | Hodnebrog, Ø. | Kartsios, S. | Lenderink, G. ...
Journal article
2023
Validating EURO-CORDEX climate simulations for modelling European wind power generation
Renewable Energy (2023)
Graziela Luzia | Matti Juhani Koivisto | Andrea N. Hahmann

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