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Scientists in ICTP's Earth System Physics section publish their research in some of the world's most prestigious journals; for the latest publications, see below.

Journal article
2024
The effect of climate change and temperature extremes on Aedes albopictus populations: a regional case study for Italy
Journal of The Royal Society Interface (2024)
Miguel Garrido Zornoza | Cyril Caminade | Adrian M. Tompkins
Journal article
2024
The Interdecadal Changes of the Relationship Between May‐June and July‐August NWPSH and Their Physical Mechanisms
Geophysical Research Letters (2024)
Shuai Li | Fred Kucharski | Jie Yang | ZhiQiang Gong | Yuxuan Zhao | Guolin Feng
Book chapter
2024
Arboviruses, Vectors, Poverty and Climate Change
Climate Change and Global Health (2024)
Colin D. Butler, | Cyril Caminade | Andrew P. Morse
Journal article
2024
Predictability of the early summer surface air temperature over Western South Asia
Climate Dynamics (2024)
Rashid, I.U. | Abid, M.A. | Osman, M. | Kucharski, F. | Ashfaq, M. | Weisheimer, A. | Almazroui, M. | Torres-Alavez, J.A. | Afzaal, M.
Journal article
2024
Amazon drought amplifies SST warming in the North Tropical Atlantic
Climate Dynamics (2024)
Lou, W. | Sun, C. | Kucharski, F. | Li, J. | Liu, Y.
Journal article
2024
An assessment of equatorial Atlantic interannual variability in Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (OMIP) simulations
Ocean Science (2024)
Arthur Prigent | Riccardo Farneti
Journal article
2024
Drivers and impact of the 2021 extreme warm event in the tropical Angolan upwelling system
Scientific Reports (2024)
Rodrigue Anicet Imbol Koungue | Peter Brandt | Arthur Prigent | Léo Costa Aroucha | Joke Lübbecke | Arielle Stela N. Imbol Nkwinkwa | Marcus Dengler | Noel Keenlyside
Journal article
2024
Process‐Based Atmosphere‐Hydrology‐Malaria Modeling: Performance for Spatio‐Temporal Malaria Transmission Dynamics in Sub‐Saharan Africa
Water Resources Research (2024)
Mame Diarra Bousso Dieng | Adrian M. Tompkins | Joël Arnault | Ali Sié | Benjamin Fersch | Patrick Laux | Maximilian Schwarz | Pascal Zabré | Stephen Munga | Sammy Khagayi | Ibrahima Diouf | Harald Kunstmann
Journal article
2024
Converging Findings of Climate Models and Satellite Observations on the Positive Impact of European Forests on Cloud Cover
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (2024)
Luca Caporaso | Gregory Duveiller | Graziano Giuliani | Filippo Giorgi | Martin Stengel | Emanuele Massaro | Matteo Piccardo | Alessandro Cescatti
Journal article
2024
Future weakening of southeastern tropical Atlantic Ocean interannual sea surface temperature variability in a global climate model
Climate Dynamics (2024)
Arthur Prigent | Rodrigue Anicet Imbol Koungue | Joke F. Lübbecke | Peter Brandt | Jan Harlaß | Mojib Latif
Journal article
2024
A Multi‐Data Set Analysis of the Freshwater Transport by the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at Nominally 34.5°S
Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans (2024)
Cristina Arumí‐Planas | Shenfu Dong | Renellys Perez | Matthew J. Harrison | Riccardo Farneti | Alonso Hernández‐Guerra
Journal article
2024
A Novel Gravity Wave Transport Parametrization for Global Chemistry Climate Models: Description and Validation
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (2024)
Guarino, M.-V. | Gardner, C.S. | Feng, W. | Funke, B. | García-Comas, M. | López-Puertas, M. | Kupilas, M.M. | Marsh, D.R. | Plane, J.M.C.

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All publications
Journal article
2021
Projecting the risk of mosquito-borne diseases in a warmer and more populated world: a multi-model, multi-scenario intercomparison modelling study
The Lancet Planetary Health (2021)
Colón-González, F.J. | Sewe, M.O. | Tompkins, A.M. | Sjödin, H. | Casallas, A. | Rocklöv, J. | Caminade, C. | Lowe, R.
Journal article
2021
Separating the indian and pacific ocean impacts on the euro-atlantic response to enso and its transition from early to late winter
Journal of Climate (2021)
Abid, M.A. | Kucharski, F. | Molteni, F. | Kang, I.-S. | Tompkins, A.M. | Almazroui, M.
Journal article
2021
Impact of a Mixed Ocean Layer and the Diurnal Cycle on Convective Aggregation
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (2021)
Tompkins, A.M. | Semie, A.G.
Journal article
2021
Impact of an accelerated melting of Greenland on malaria distribution over Africa
Nature Communications (2021)
Chemison, A. | Ramstein, G. | Tompkins, A.M. | Defrance, D. | Camus, G. | Charra, M. | Caminade, C.
Journal article
2020
Global River Discharge and Floods in the Warmer Climate of the Last Interglacial
Geophysical Research Letters (2020)
Scussolini, P. | Eilander, D. | Sutanudjaja, E.H. | Ikeuchi, H. | Hoch, J.M. | Ward, P.J. | Bakker, P. | Otto-Bliesner, B.L. | Guo, C. | Stepanek, C. | Zhang, Q. | Braconnot, P. | Guarino, M.-V. | Muis, S. | Yamazaki, D. ...
Journal article
2020
Origin of Weakened Interannual Sea Surface Temperature Variability in the Southeastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean
Geophysical Research Letters (2020)
Arthur Prigent | Rodrigue Anicet Imbol Koungue | Joke F. Lübbecke | Peter Brandt | Mojib Latif
Journal article
2020
Weakened SST variability in the tropical Atlantic Ocean since 2000
Climate Dynamics (2020)
Arthur Prigent | Joke F. Lübbecke | Tobias Bayr | Mojib Latif | Christian Wengel
Journal article
2020
Thermodynamical properties associated with the Indian summer monsoon rainfall using a regional climate model
Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2020)
Mishra, A.K. | Dwivedi, S. | Di Sante, F. | Coppola, E.
Journal article
2020
Future global meteorological drought hot spots: A study based on CORDEX data
Journal of Climate (2020)
Spinoni, J. | Barbosa, P. | Bucchignani, E. | Cassano, J. | Cavazos, T. | Christensen, J.H. | Christensen, O.B. | Coppola, E. | Evans, J. | Geyer, B. | Giorgi, F. | Hadjinicolaou, P. | Jacob, D. | Katzfey, J. | Koenigk, T. ...
Journal article
2020
Interdisciplinary regional collaboration for public health adaptation to climate change in the eastern mediterranean
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (2020)
Hochman, A. | Alpert, P. | Baldi, M. | Bucchignani, E. | Coppola, E. | Dahdal, Y. | Davidovitch, N. | Georgiades, P. | Helgert, S. | Khreis, H. | Levine, H. | Materia, S. | Negev, M. | Salah, I. | Shaheen, M. | Giorgi, F.
Journal article
2020
A first-of-its-kind multi-model convection permitting ensemble for investigating convective phenomena over Europe and the Mediterranean
Climate Dynamics (2020)
Coppola, E. | Sobolowski, S. | Pichelli, E. | Raffaele, F. | Ahrens, B. | Anders, I. | Ban, N. | Bastin, S. | Belda, M. | Belusic, D. | Caldas-Alvarez, A. | Cardoso, R.M. | Davolio, S. | Dobler, A. | Fernandez, J. | Fita, L. ...
Journal article
2020
Near-Future Anthropogenic Aerosol Emission Scenarios and Their Direct Radiative Effects on the Present-Day Characteristics of the Indian Summer Monsoon
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (2020)
Das, S. | Giorgi, F. | Giuliani, G. | Dey, S. | Coppola, E.
Journal article
2020
Biogeophysical impacts of forestation in Europe: First results from the LUCAS (Land Use and Climate across Scales) regional climate model intercomparison
Earth System Dynamics (2020)
Davin, E.L. | Rechid, D. | Breil, M. | Cardoso, R.M. | Coppola, E. | Hoffmann, P. | Jach, L.L. | Katragkou, E. | De Noblet-Ducoudré, N. | Radtke, K. | Raffa, M. | Soares, P.M.M. | Sofiadis, G. | Strada, S. | Strandberg, G. ...
Journal article
2020
Performance of RegCM4 simulations over Croatia and adjacent climate regions
International Journal of Climatology (2020)
Güttler, I. | Stilinović, T. | Srnec, L. | Branković, Č. | Coppola, E. | Giorgi, F.
Journal article
2020
Climate change impacts on water resources in the Mediterranean
Regional Environmental Change (2020)
Tramblay, Y. | Llasat, M.C. | Randin, C. | Coppola, E.
Journal article
2020
Regional climate downscaling over Europe: perspectives from the EURO-CORDEX community
Regional Environmental Change (2020)
Jacob, D. | Teichmann, C. | Sobolowski, S. | Katragkou, E. | Anders, I. | Belda, M. | Benestad, R. | Boberg, F. | Buonomo, E. | Cardoso, R.M. | Casanueva, A. | Christensen, O.B. | Christensen, J.H. | Coppola, E. | De Cruz, L. ...
Journal article
2020
Comparing Methods to Constrain Future European Climate Projections Using a Consistent Framework
Journal of Climate (2020)
Rita Nogherotto
Journal article
2020
The role of an Indian Ocean heating dipole in the ENSO teleconnection to the North Atlantic European region in early winter during 20th century in Reanalysis and CMIP5 simulations
Journal of Climate (2020)
Manish K. Joshi | Muhammad Adnan Abid | Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2020
Dynamics of the ENSO teleconnection and NAO variability in the North Atlantic-European late winter
Journal of Climate (2020)
Mezzina, B. | García-Serrano, J. | Bladé, I. | Kucharski, F.
Journal article
2020
Understanding the influence of ENSO patterns on drought over southern Africa using SPEEDY
Climate Dynamics (2020)
Michelle Gore | Babatunde J. Abiodun | Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2020
Potential predictability of boreal winter precipitation over central-southwest Asia in the North American multi-model ensemble
Climate Dynamics (2020)
Ehsan, M.A. | Kucharski, F. | Almazroui, M.
Journal article
2020
Predicting peak summer monsoon precipitation over Pakistan in ECMWF SEAS5 and North American Multimodel Ensemble
International Journal of Climatology (2020)
Ehsan, M.A. | Tippett, M.K. | Kucharski, F. | Almazroui, M. | Ismail, M.
Journal article
2020
A new perspective on ENSO-Indian summer monsoon rainfall relationship in a warming environment
Climate Dynamics (2020)
Pandey, P. | Dwivedi, S. | Goswami, B.N. | Kucharski, F.
Journal article
2020
The Footprint of Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation on the Intensity of Tropical Cyclones Over the Western North Pacific
Frontiers in Earth Science (2020)
Sun, C. | Liu, Y. | Gong, Z. | Kucharski, F. | Li, J. | Wang, Q. | Li, X.
Journal article
2020
Assessing Changes in Characteristics of Hot Extremes Over India in a Warming Environment and their Driving Mechanisms
Scientific Reports (2020)
Joshi, M.K. | Rai, A. | Kulkarni, A. | Kucharski, F.
Journal article
2020
Tropical Indian Ocean Mediates ENSO Influence Over Central Southwest Asia During the Wet Season
Geophysical Research Letters (2020)
Abid, M.A. | Ashfaq, M. | Kucharski, F. | Evans, K.J. | Almazroui, M.
Journal article
2020
Atlantic Ocean influence on Middle East summer surface air temperature
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2020)
Ehsan, M.A. | Nicolì, D. | Kucharski, F. | Almazroui, M. | Tippett, M.K. | Bellucci, A. | Ruggieri, P. | Kang, I.-S.
Journal article
2020
Near‐Future Anthropogenic Aerosol Emission Scenarios and Their Direct Radiative Effects on the Present‐Day Characteristics of the Indian Summer Monsoon
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (2020)
Sushant Das | Filippo Giorgi | Graziano Giuliani | Sagnik Dey | Erika Coppola
Journal article
2020
Climate Variability and Malaria over West Africa
The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene (2020)
Ibrahima Diouf | Belén Rodriguez Fonseca | Cyril Caminade | Wassila M. Thiaw | Abdoulaye Deme | Andrew P. Morse | Jacques-André Ndione | Amadou Thierno Gaye | Anta Diaw | Marie Khemesse Ngom Ndiaye
Journal article
2020
CMIP6/PMIP4 simulations of the mid-Holocene and Last Interglacial using HadGEM3: Comparison to the pre-industrial era, previous model versions and proxy data
Climate of the Past (2020)
J. R. Williams, C. | Guarino, M.-V. | Capron, E. | Malmierca-Vallet, I. | S. Singarayer, J. | C. Sime, L. | J. Lunt, D. | J. Valdes, P.

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