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Scientists in ICTP's Earth System Physics section publish their research in some of the world's most prestigious journals; for the latest publications, see below.

Journal article
2025
Sensitivity of Self‐Aggregation and the Key Role of the Free Convection Distance
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (2025)
A. Casallas | A. M. Tompkins | C. Muller | G. Thompson
Journal article
2025
Drivers of mesoscale convective aggregation and spatial humidity variability in the tropical western Pacific
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2025)
Adrian Mark Tompkins | Alejandro Casallas | Michie Vianca De Vera
Journal article
2025
Tele-connected rainfall extremes over West and East Asia in April 2024 tied to Indian Ocean heating
Climate Dynamics (2025)
He, C. | Kucharski, F.
Journal article
2025
Representation of Dense Shelf Water formation by global oceanic reanalyses
Polar Research (2025)
Rafael Afonso do Nascimento Reis | Flávio Justino | Luis Felipe Ferreira De Mendonça | Riccardo Farneti | Marcos Tonelli | Jeferson Prietsch Machado | Douglas da Silva Lindemann
Journal article
2025
ENSO teleconnections and predictability of the boreal summer temperature over the Arabian Peninsula in C3S and Saudi-KAU seasonal forecast systems
Atmospheric Research (2025)
Almazroui, M. | Khalid, M.S. | Abid, M.A. | Rashid, I.U. | Kamil, S. | Siddiqui, H. | Islam, M.N. | Ismail, M. | Ehsan, M.A. | O'Brien, E. | Asiri, M. | Ahmed, R. | Saeed, S. | Samman, A.E. | Kucharski, F. | Arif, O.H. | Arishi, A.A.
Journal article
2024
The added value of simulated near-surface wind speed over the Alps from a km-scale multimodel ensemble
Climate Dynamics (2024)
Molina, M.O. | Careto, J.M. | Gutiérrez, C. | Sánchez, E. | Goergen, K. | Sobolowski, S. | Coppola, E. | Pichelli, E. | Ban, N. | Belus̆ić, D. | Short, C. | Caillaud, C. | Dobler, A. | Hodnebrog, Ø. | Kartsios, S. ...
Journal article
2024
Assessing observational constraints on future European climate in an out-of-sample framework
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2024)
O’Reilly, C.H. | Brunner, L. | Qasmi, S. | Nogherotto, R. | Ballinger, A.P. | Booth, B. | Befort, D.J. | Knutti, R. | Schurer, A.P. | Ribes, A. | Weisheimer, A. | Coppola, E. | McSweeney, C.
Journal article
2024
Towards better understanding the urban environment and its interactions with regional climate change - The WCRP CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study URB-RCC
Urban Climate (2024)
Langendijk, G.S. | Halenka, T. | Hoffmann, P. | Adinolfi, M. | Aldama Campino, A. | Asselin, O. | Bastin, S. | Bechtel, B. | Belda, M. | Bushenkova, A. | Campanale, A. | Chun, K.P. | Constantinidou, K. | Coppola, E. ...
Journal article
2024
ClimaMeter: contextualizing extreme weather in a changing climate
Weather and Climate Dynamics (2024)
Faranda, D. | Messori, G. | Coppola, E. | Alberti, T. | Vrac, M. | Pons, F. | Yiou, P. | Saint Lu, M. | Hisi, A.N.S. | Brockmann, P. | Dafis, S. | Mengaldo, G. | Vautard, R.
Journal article
2024
Impacts of Changing Atmospheric Circulation Patterns on Aviation Turbulence Over Europe
Geophysical Research Letters (2024)
Alberti, T. | Faranda, D. | Rapella, L. | Coppola, E. | Lepreti, F. | Dubrulle, B. | Carbone, V.
Journal article
2024
Indo-Pacific regional extremes aggravated by changes in tropical weather patterns
Nature Geoscience (2024)
Dong, C. | Noyelle, R. | Messori, G. | Gualandi, A. | Fery, L. | Yiou, P. | Vrac, M. | D’Andrea, F. | Camargo, S.J. | Coppola, E. | Balsamo, G. | Chen, C. | Faranda, D. | Mengaldo, G.
Journal article
2024
Statistical physics and dynamical systems perspectives on geophysical extreme events
Physical Review E (2024)
Faranda, D. | Messori, G. | Alberti, T. | Alvarez-Castro, C. | Caby, T. | Cavicchia, L. | Coppola, E. | Donner, R.V. | Dubrulle, B. | Galfi, V.M. | Holmberg, E. | Lembo, V. | Noyelle, R. | Yiou, P. | Spagnolo, B. | Valenti, D. ...

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All publications
Journal article
2019
The response of precipitation characteristics to global warming from climate projections
Earth System Dynamics (2019)
Giorgi, F. | Raffaele, F. | Coppola, E.
Journal article
2019
Extreme precipitation events over Saudi Arabia during the wet season and their associated teleconnections
Atmospheric Research (2019)
Rana Muhammad Atif | Mansour Almazroui | Sajjad Saeed | Muhammad Adnan Abid | M. Nazrul Islam | Muhammad Ismail
Journal article
2019
Variations in ozone and greenhouse gases as drivers of Southern Hemisphere climate in a medium-complexity global climate model
Climate Dynamics (2019)
Saurral, R.I. | Kucharski, F. | Raggio, G.A.
Journal article
2019
Long-term ENSO relationship to precipitation and storm frequency over western Himalaya–Karakoram–Hindukush region during the winter season
Climate Dynamics (2019)
Kamil, S. | Almazroui, M. | Kang, I.-S. | Hanif, M. | Kucharski, F. | Abid, M.A. | Saeed, F.
Journal article
2019
Weakening Atlantic Niño–Pacific connection under greenhouse warming
Science Advances (2019)
Jia, F. | Cai, W. | Wu, L. | Gan, B. | Wang, G. | Kucharski, F. | Chang, P. | Keenlyside, N.
Journal article
2019
Modal decomposition of the global response to tropical heating perturbations resembling MJO
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences (2019)
Kosovelj, K. | Kucharski, F. | Molteni, F. | Žagara, N.
Journal article
2019
A heuristic dynamical model of the North Atlantic Oscillation with a Lorenz-type chaotic attractor
Climate Dynamics (2019)
Molteni, F. | Kucharski, F.
Journal article
2019
Potential predictability of Arabian peninsula summer surface air temperature in the North American multimodel ensemble
Climate Dynamics (2019)
Ehsan, M.A. | Kucharski, F. | Almazroui, M. | Ismail, M. | Tippett, M.K.
Journal article
2019
A modified seasonal cycle during MIS31 super-interglacial favors stronger interannual ENSO and monsoon variability
Climate of the Past (2019)
Flavio Justino | Fred Kucharski | Douglas Lindemann | Aaron Wilson | Frode Stordal
Journal article
2019
Spring Aleutian Low Weakening and Surface Cooling Trend in Northwest North America During Recent Decades
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (2019)
Cheng Sun | Fred Kucharski | Jianping Li | Kaicun Wang | In‐Sik Kang | Tao Lian | Ting Liu | Ruiqiang Ding | Fei Xie
Journal article
2019
The response of the midlatitude jet to regional polar heating in a simple storm-track model
Journal of Climate (2019)
Ruggieri, P. | Kucharski, F. | Novak, L.
Journal article
2019
Contrasting spatial structures of Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation between observations and slab ocean model simulations
Climate Dynamics (2019)
Sun, C. | Li, J. | Kucharski, F. | Xue, J. | Li, X.
Journal article
2019
Recent Acceleration of Arabian Sea Warming Induced by the Atlantic‐Western Pacific Trans‐basin Multidecadal Variability
Geophysical Research Letters (2019)
Cheng Sun | Jianping Li | Fred Kucharski | In‐Sik Kang | Fei‐Fei Jin | Kaicun Wang | Chunzai Wang | Ruiqiang Ding | Fei Xie
Journal article
2019
Towards understanding the global and regional climatic impacts of Modoki magnitude
Global and Planetary Change (2019)
Dogar, M.M. | Kucharski, F. | Sato, T. | Mehmood, S. | Ali, S. | Gong, Z. | Das, D. | Arraut, J.
Journal article
2019
Ekman pumping mechanism driving precipitation anomalies in response to equatorial heating
Climate Dynamics (2019)
Hamouda, M.E. | Kucharski, F.
Book chapter
2019
An I/O Analysis of HPC Workloads on CephFS and Lustre
Alberto Chiusole | Stefano Cozzini | Daniel van der Ster | Massimo Lamanna | Graziano Giuliani
Journal article
2019
Modeling Potential Habitat for Amblyomma Tick Species in California
Insects (2019)
Emily L. Pascoe | Matteo Marcantonio | Cyril Caminade | Janet E. Foley
Journal article
2019
Agreement between reconstructed and modeled boreal precipitation of the last interglacial
Science Advances (2019)
Scussolini, P. | Bakker, P. | Guo, C. | Stepanek, C. | Zhang, Q. | Braconnot, P. | Cao, J. | Guarino, M.-V. | Coumou, D. | Prange, M. | Ward, P.J. | Renssen, H. | Kageyama, M. | Otto-Bliesner, B. | Aerts, J.C.J.H.
Journal article
2019
The effect of temperature, farm density and foot-and-mouth disease restrictions on the 2007 UK bluetongue outbreak
Scientific Reports (2019)
Turner, J. | Jones, A.E. | Heath, A.E. | Wardeh, M. | Caminade, C. | Kluiters, G. | Bowers, R.G. | Morse, A.P. | Baylis, M.
Journal article
2019
Impact of ENSO 2016–17 on regional climate and malaria vector dynamics in Tanzania
Environmental Research Letters (2019)
Katharina Kreppel | Cyril Caminade | Nicodem Govella | Andrew P Morse | Heather M Ferguson | Matthew Baylis
Journal article
2019
The UK’s suitability for Aedes albopictus in current and future climates
Journal of The Royal Society Interface (2019)
S. Metelmann | C. Caminade | A. E. Jones | J. M. Medlock | M. Baylis | A. P. Morse
Journal article
2019
Bluetongue risk under future climates
Nature Climate Change (2019)
Anne E. Jones | Joanne Turner | Cyril Caminade | Andrew E. Heath | Maya Wardeh | Georgette Kluiters | Peter J. Diggle | Andrew P. Morse | Matthew Baylis
Journal article
2019
Abstracts of Oral Presentations
Transactions of The Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene (2019)
Cyril Caminade
Journal article
2019
Impact of recent and future climate change on vector-borne diseases
Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences (2019)
Cyril Caminade | K. Marie McIntyre | Anne E. Jones
Journal article
2019
The Moderate Impact of the 2015 El Niño over East Africa and Its Representation in Seasonal Reforecasts
Journal of Climate (2019)
David MacLeod | Cyril Caminade
Journal article
2019
Lag effect of climatic variables on dengue burden in India
Epidemiology and Infection (2019)
Satya Ganesh Kakarla | Cyril Caminade | Srinivasa Rao Mutheneni | Andrew P Morse | Suryanaryana Murty Upadhyayula | Madhusudhan Rao Kadiri | Sriram Kumaraswamy
Journal article
2019
The effect of wind stress anomalies and location in driving Pacific subtropical cells and tropical climate
Journal of Climate (2019)
Graffino, G. | Farneti, R. | Kucharski, F. | Molteni, F.
Journal article
2019
Modelling the role of Atlantic air-sea interaction in the impact of Madden-Julian Oscillation on South American climate
International Journal of Climatology (2019)
Marcelo Barreiro | Lina Sitz | Santiago de Mello | Ramon Fuentes-Franco | Madeleine Renom | Riccardo Farneti
Journal article
2019
Delivering Sustained, Coordinated, and Integrated Observations of the Southern Ocean for Global Impact
Frontiers in Marine Science (2019)
Louise Newman | Petra Heil | Rowan Trebilco | Katsuro Katsumata | Andrew Constable | Esmee van Wijk | Karen Assmann | Joana Beja | Phillippa Bricher | Richard Coleman | Daniel Costa | Steve Diggs | Riccardo Farneti | Sarah Fawcett ...
Journal article
2019
Ocean Climate Observing Requirements in Support of Climate Research and Climate Information
Frontiers in Marine Science (2019)
Detlef Stammer | Annalisa Bracco | Krishna AchutaRao | Lisa Beal | Nathaniel L. Bindoff | Pascale Braconnot | Wenju Cai | Dake Chen | Matthew Collins | Gokhan Danabasoglu | Boris Dewitte | Riccardo Farneti | Baylor Fox-Kemper ...

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