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Scientists in ICTP's Earth System Physics section publish their research in some of the world's most prestigious journals; for the latest publications, see below.

Journal article

2025

Sensitivity of Self‐Aggregation and the Key Role of the Free Convection Distance

Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (2025)

A. Casallas | A. M. Tompkins | C. Muller | G. Thompson

Journal article

2025

Drivers of mesoscale convective aggregation and spatial humidity variability in the tropical western Pacific

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2025)

Adrian Mark Tompkins | Alejandro Casallas | Michie Vianca De Vera

Journal article

2025

Tele-connected rainfall extremes over West and East Asia in April 2024 tied to Indian Ocean heating

Climate Dynamics (2025)

He, C. | Kucharski, F.

Journal article

2025

Representation of Dense Shelf Water formation by global oceanic reanalyses

Polar Research (2025)

Rafael Afonso do Nascimento Reis | Flávio Justino | Luis Felipe Ferreira De Mendonça | Riccardo Farneti | Marcos Tonelli | Jeferson Prietsch Machado | Douglas da Silva Lindemann

Journal article

2025

ENSO teleconnections and predictability of the boreal summer temperature over the Arabian Peninsula in C3S and Saudi-KAU seasonal forecast systems

Atmospheric Research (2025)

Almazroui, M. | Khalid, M.S. | Abid, M.A. | Rashid, I.U. | Kamil, S. | Siddiqui, H. | Islam, M.N. | Ismail, M. | Ehsan, M.A. | O'Brien, E. | Asiri, M. | Ahmed, R. | Saeed, S. | Samman, A.E. | Kucharski, F. | Arif, O.H. | Arishi, A.A.

Journal article

2024

Statistical physics and dynamical systems perspectives on geophysical extreme events

Physical Review E (2024)

Faranda, D. | Messori, G. | Alberti, T. | Alvarez-Castro, C. | Caby, T. | Cavicchia, L. | Coppola, E. | Donner, R.V. | Dubrulle, B. | Galfi, V.M. | Holmberg, E. | Lembo, V. | Noyelle, R. | Yiou, P. | Spagnolo, B. | Valenti, D. ...

Journal article

2024

The added value of simulated near-surface wind speed over the Alps from a km-scale multimodel ensemble

Climate Dynamics (2024)

Molina, M.O. | Careto, J.M. | Gutiérrez, C. | Sánchez, E. | Goergen, K. | Sobolowski, S. | Coppola, E. | Pichelli, E. | Ban, N. | Belus̆ić, D. | Short, C. | Caillaud, C. | Dobler, A. | Hodnebrog, Ø. | Kartsios, S. ...

Journal article

2024

Assessing observational constraints on future European climate in an out-of-sample framework

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2024)

O’Reilly, C.H. | Brunner, L. | Qasmi, S. | Nogherotto, R. | Ballinger, A.P. | Booth, B. | Befort, D.J. | Knutti, R. | Schurer, A.P. | Ribes, A. | Weisheimer, A. | Coppola, E. | McSweeney, C.

Journal article

2024

Towards better understanding the urban environment and its interactions with regional climate change - The WCRP CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study URB-RCC

Urban Climate (2024)

Langendijk, G.S. | Halenka, T. | Hoffmann, P. | Adinolfi, M. | Aldama Campino, A. | Asselin, O. | Bastin, S. | Bechtel, B. | Belda, M. | Bushenkova, A. | Campanale, A. | Chun, K.P. | Constantinidou, K. | Coppola, E. ...

Journal article

2024

ClimaMeter: contextualizing extreme weather in a changing climate

Weather and Climate Dynamics (2024)

Faranda, D. | Messori, G. | Coppola, E. | Alberti, T. | Vrac, M. | Pons, F. | Yiou, P. | Saint Lu, M. | Hisi, A.N.S. | Brockmann, P. | Dafis, S. | Mengaldo, G. | Vautard, R.

Journal article

2024

Impacts of Changing Atmospheric Circulation Patterns on Aviation Turbulence Over Europe

Geophysical Research Letters (2024)

Alberti, T. | Faranda, D. | Rapella, L. | Coppola, E. | Lepreti, F. | Dubrulle, B. | Carbone, V.

Journal article

2024

Indo-Pacific regional extremes aggravated by changes in tropical weather patterns

Nature Geoscience (2024)

Dong, C. | Noyelle, R. | Messori, G. | Gualandi, A. | Fery, L. | Yiou, P. | Vrac, M. | D’Andrea, F. | Camargo, S.J. | Coppola, E. | Balsamo, G. | Chen, C. | Faranda, D. | Mengaldo, G.

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All publications

Journal article

2019

Indian Summer Monsoon as simulated by the regional earth system model RegCM-ES: the role of local air–sea interaction

Climate Dynamics (2019)

Di Sante, F. | Coppola, E. | Farneti, R. | Giorgi, F.

Journal article

2019

The first forecasters’ handbook for West Africa

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (2019)

Cornforth, R. | Parker, D.J. | Diop-Kane, M. | Fink, A.H. | Lafore, J.-P. | Laing, A. | Afiesimama, E. | Caughey, J. | Diongue-Niang, A. | Kassimou, A. | Lamb, P. | Lamptey, B. | Mumba, X. | Nnodu, I. | Omotosho, J. ...

Journal article

2019

Aquatic ecosystem changes in a global biodiversity hotspot: Evidence from the Albertine Rift, central Africa

Journal of Biogeography (2019)

McGlynn, G. | Lejju, J. | Dalton, C. | Mooney, S.D. | Rose, N.L. | Tompkins, A.M. | Bannister, W. | Tan, Z.D. | Zheng, X. | Rühland, K.M. | Taylor, D.

Journal article

2019

Dynamical Malaria Forecasts Are Skillful at Regional and Local Scales in Uganda up to 4 Months Ahead

GeoHealth (2019)

Tompkins, A.M. | Colón-González, F.J. | Di Giuseppe, F. | Namanya, D.B.

Journal article

2019

Modelled and observed mean and seasonal relationships between climate, population density and malaria indicators in Cameroon

Malaria Journal (2019)

Mbouna, A.D. | Tompkins, A.M. | Lenouo, A. | Asare, E.O. | Yamba, E.I. | Tchawoua, C.

Journal article

2018

Mountain-wave turbulence in the presence of directional wind shear over the Rocky Mountains

Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences (2018)

Guarino, M.-V. | Teixeira, M.A.C. | Keller, T.L. | Sharman, R.D.

Journal article

2018

Threatening levels of cumulative stress due to hydroclimatic extremes in the 21st century

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2018)

Giorgi, F. | Coppola, E. | Raffaele, F.

Journal article

2018

Editorial for the Med-CORDEX special issue

Climate Dynamics (2018)

Somot, S. | Ruti, P. | Ahrens, B. | Coppola, E. | Jordà, G. | Sannino, G. | Solmon, F.

Journal article

2018

Impact of climate change on snow melt driven runoff timing over the Alpine region

Climate Dynamics (2018)

Coppola, E. | Raffaele, F. | Giorgi, F.

Journal article

2018

Land use change over the Amazon forest and its impact on the local climate

Water (Switzerland) (2018)

Llopart, M. | Reboita, M.S. | Coppola, E. | Giorgi, F. | da Rocha, R.P. | de Souza, D.O.

Journal article

2018

Seasonal precipitation forecast over Mexico based on a hybrid statistical–dynamical approach

International Journal of Climatology (2018)

Fuentes-Franco, R. | Giorgi, F. | Pavia, E.G. | Graef, F. | Coppola, E.

Journal article

2018

The European mountain cryosphere: A review of its current state, trends, and future challenges

Cryosphere (2018)

Beniston, M. | Farinotti, D. | Stoffel, M. | Andreassen, L.M. | Coppola, E. | Eckert, N. | Fantini, A. | Giacona, F. | Hauck, C. | Huss, M. | Huwald, H. | Lehning, M. | López-Moreno, J.I. | Magnusson, J. | Marty, C. ...

Journal article

2018

Assessment of multiple daily precipitation statistics in ERA-Interim driven Med-CORDEX and EURO-CORDEX experiments against high resolution observations

Climate Dynamics (2018)

Fantini, A. | Raffaele, F. | Torma, C. | Bacer, S. | Coppola, E. | Giorgi, F. | Ahrens, B. | Dubois, C. | Sanchez, E. | Verdecchia, M.

Journal article

2018

Remote SST forcing on Indian summer monsoon extreme years in AGCM experiments

International Journal of Climatology (2018)

Cherchi, A. | Kucharski, F. | Colleoni, F.

Journal article

2018

Dominant SST Mode in the Southern Hemisphere Extratropics and Its Influence on Atmospheric Circulation

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences (2018)

Zheng, F. | Li, J. | Kucharski, F. | Ding, R. | Liu, T.

Journal article

2018

Two leading modes of the interannual variability in South American surface air temperature during austral winter

Climate Dynamics (2018)

Li, Y. | Li, J. | Kucharski, F. | Feng, J. | Zhao, S. | Zheng, J.

Journal article

2018

ENSO relationship to summer rainfall variability and its potential predictability over Arabian Peninsula region

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2018)

Abid, M.A. | Almazroui, M. | Kucharski, F. | O’Brien, E. | Yousef, A.E.

Journal article

2018

Importance of late fall ENSO teleconnection in the euro-atlantic sector

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (2018)

King, M.P. | Herceg-Bulić, I. | Bladé, I. | GarcíA-Serrano, J. | KeenlySide, N. | Kucharski, F. | Li, C. | Sobolowski, S.

Journal article

2018

Climate and atmospheric science: raising the temperature

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2018)

Harrison, R.M. | Kucharski, F.

Journal article

2018

Interannual tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies teleconnection to Northern Hemisphere atmosphere in November

Climate Dynamics (2018)

King, M.P. | Herceg-Bulić, I. | Kucharski, F. | Keenlyside, N.

Journal article

2018

Climate model shows large-scale wind and solar farms in the Sahara increase rain and vegetation

Science (2018)

Li, Y. | Kalnay, E. | Motesharrei, S. | Rivas, J. | Kucharski, F. | Kirk-Davidoff, D. | Bach, E. | Zeng, N.

Journal article

2018

Modulation of the meridional structures of the Indo-Pacific Warm pool on the response of the Hadley Circulation to Tropical SST

Journal of Climate (2018)

Feng, J. | Li, J. | Kucharski, F. | Wang, Y. | Sun, C. | Xie, F. | Yang, Y.

Journal article

2018

Decadal climate variability and predictability: Challenges and opportunities

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (2018)

Cassou, C. | Kushnir, Y. | Hawkins, E. | Pirani, A. | Kucharski, F. | Kang, I.-S. | Caltabiano, N.

Journal article

2018

Mountain wave turbulence in the presence of directional wind shear over the Rocky Mountains

Guarino, Maria Vittoria | Teixeira, Miguel A. C. | Keller, Teddie L. | Sharman, Robert D.

Journal article

2018

Predicting the distribution of Phortica variegata and potential for Thelazia callipaeda transmission in Europe and the United Kingdom

Parasites & Vectors (2018)

Jennifer Palfreyman | John Graham-Brown | Cyril Caminade | Paul Gilmore | Domenico Otranto | Diana J. L. Williams

Journal article

2018

Mosquito-Borne Diseases: Advances in Modelling Climate-Change Impacts

Trends in Parasitology (2018)

Tjaden, N.B. | Caminade, C. | Beierkuhnlein, C. | Thomas, S.M.

Book chapter

2018

Predicting climate impacts on health at sub-seasonal to seasonal timescales

Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction: The Gap Between Weather and Climate Forecasting (2018)

Tompkins, A.M. | Lowe, R. | Nissan, H. | Martiny, N. | Roucou, P. | Thomson, M.C. | Nakazawa, T.

Journal article

2018

The Numerics of Physical Parametrization in the ECMWF Model

Frontiers in Earth Science (2018)

Beljaars, A. | Balsamo, G. | Bechtold, P. | Bozzo, A. | Forbes, R. | Hogan, R.J. | Köhler, M. | Morcrette, J.-J. | Tompkins, A.M. | Viterbo, P. | Wedi, N.

Journal article

2018

Uncertainty in malaria simulations in the highlands of Kenya: Relative contributions of model parameter setting, driving climate and initial condition errors

PLoS ONE (2018)

Tompkins, A.M. | Thomson, M.C.

Journal article

2017

Sensitivity of AGCM‐simulated regional JJAS precipitation to different convective parameterization schemes

International Journal of Climatology (2017)

Muhammad Azhar Ehsan | Mansour Almazroui | Ahmed Yousef | O'Brien Enda | Michael K. Tippett | Fred Kucharski | Abdulrahman A. Alkhalaf

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